Study Shows Marked Increase in Diagnosed Infertility Among Women Aged 35 to 49
Vienna, July 7, 2026
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Summary
An analysis published in the journal "The Lancet Obstetrics, Gynaecology & Women's Health" covering 204 countries shows a rise in diagnosed infertility among women aged 35 to 49 from approximately 27 million cases in 1990 to nearly 54 million in 2023. Viennese experts, however, warn against misinterpretations and point to methodological weaknesses in the extrapolation.
Vienna, July 7, 2026
An international study led by Yuanyuan Du shows that the number of diagnosed infertility cases among women aged 35 to 49 rose worldwide between 1990 and 2023 from around 27 million to nearly 54 million.
Global Increase in Diagnoses
The analysis was published on Tuesday in the journal "The Lancet Obstetrics, Gynaecology & Women's Health." It is based on data from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) study, which examined developments in 204 countries between 1990 and 2023. The research team led by Yuanyuan Du of the Hangzhou Institute of Medicine and the Chinese Academy of Sciences evaluated information from scientific literature and databases.
"Women aged between 35 and 49 are particularly affected," the study states. According to the data, the global rate of diagnosed cases per 100,000 women in this age group rose markedly over the period in question. Overall, diagnoses rose "from around 27 million to nearly 54 million."
The researchers see one reason in the fact that many women now want to have children at a considerably older age than in the past—and then, due to age-related infertility, do not succeed in becoming pregnant. "Wealthier countries are particularly affected, where women on average have children later."
Background: Egg Cells and Risk Factors
From around the age of 35, both the egg cell reserve and the quality of egg cells decline significantly. This reduces the probability of pregnancy. The success of a pregnancy is largely dependent on the age of the egg cell. Conditions such as endometriosis, polycystic ovary syndrome, metabolic disorders, and excess weight are also being diagnosed more frequently today and contribute to this risk.
Worldwide, around eight to twelve percent of couples experience fertility problems, according to the study. Women are overall more frequently affected than men.
Database and Country Comparison
The figures cited refer to the share of diagnosed infertility in the total population of 35- to 49-year-olds—and not to the biological infertility rate among women who currently wish to have children. The global average stands at 6,907 cases per 100,000 women, according to the data. Spain, at 2,226, is well below the global average, while Belgium, at 8,499 cases per 100,000 women, tops the European figures cited.
Viennese reproductive medicine specialist Beda Hartmann places the results in a more nuanced context. "The number of couples with unfulfilled desire for children has certainly risen, but that does not automatically mean that biological primary sterility in women has increased to the same extent." However, she expects interest in so-called social egg freezing—preventively freezing unfertilized egg cells—to grow in the coming years. "It would be advisable to freeze egg cells as early as age 25."
Criticism from Vienna
Eva Beaujouan, professor of demography at the University of Vienna, who was not involved in the study, voiced sharp criticism in remarks to the German Science Media Center. "It would be wrong to assume that the results show an increase in infertility among women who wish to have children." The study captures a population indicator, not an individual risk value. Nor can it confirm that the country differences reported in the international comparison actually exist.
Beaujouan doubts in particular the figures for Austria, which "appear far too high." Austria is neither a leader in late childbearing nor in the use of artificial insemination; the number of IVF treatments per woman lies in the European middle range, or rather below it. The methodology, and in particular the extrapolation, are also insufficiently described; "How precise the figures presented actually are can be assessed only with difficulty."
The Viennese demographer attributes the shift in family formation to longer periods of study, economic uncertainty, and youth unemployment. "People have children at a higher age due to longer periods of study, economic uncertainty, and youth unemployment." Factors such as higher life expectancy and changes in values and attitudes also play a role. "In addition, priority is given at younger ages to other activities such as career or travel."
Political Conclusions
As a political response, Beaujouan calls for reliable framework conditions. "A state must invest sufficiently in reliable childcare and a supportive infrastructure, so that every person who wants to have children can do so at the age they wish." The trend is unlikely to be reversed, "but perhaps stabilized." An earlier WHO evaluation for the period 1990 to 2021 found no marked increase in infertility prevalence worldwide.
The present finding is based on diagnoses, not on measured biological infertility, and is therefore of only limited informative value regarding the actual risk for women who wish to have children.
(Klaus Taschwer, 7.7.2026)
Questions & Answers
Who led the study on infertility and where was it published?
The study was led by Yuanyuan Du, whose affiliations are given as the Hangzhou Institute of Medicine and the Chinese Academy of Sciences. The analysis was published on Tuesday in the journal "The Lancet Obstetrics, Gynaecology & Women's Health."
Which countries does the study cite as having particularly high or low figures?
The highest is Belgium, with 8,499 diagnosed cases per 100,000 women; Spain, at 2,226, is well below the global average of 6,907 cases per 100,000 women.
What criticism does the Viennese demographer Eva Beaujouan level at the study?
Beaujouan points out that the study captures a population indicator and not an individual risk value, and she doubts the Austrian figures in particular. Furthermore, the methodology and extrapolation are insufficiently described.
Infertility in Women Aged 35 and Over: Study, Criticism | allfacts360