Berlin Election Poll: CDU Loses Top Spot to Left Party | allfacts360
Berlin Trend: CDU Falls to Fourth Place for the First Time Since 2023 – Left Party Leads
Berlin, 01 July 2026
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Summary
In the new Berlin Trend by Infratest dimap, the CDU falls from the top to fourth place for the first time in over three years. The Left Party reaches 20 percent, the SPD slips to 13 percent, and 78 percent of respondents express dissatisfaction with the Senate.
Berlin, 01 July 2026
In the new Berlin Trend by Infratest dimap, the CDU loses its leading position in Berlin election polls for the first time in over three years, dropping to fourth place with 17 percent, while the Left Party becomes the strongest force with 20 percent.
The Key Numbers at a Glance
The CDU, whose member Kai Wegner serves as Governing Mayor, loses voter favor and would come in fourth with 17 percent. If the election were held this Sunday, the Left Party would be the strongest force with 20 percent. Between them are the Greens at 19 percent, gaining one point, and the AfD unchanged at 18 percent. The SPD, currently governing with the CDU, loses one point to 13 percent.
The Berlin Trend was commissioned by RBB24-Abendschau and RBB 88.8. For the representative survey, a total of 1,165 people were interviewed online and by phone between June 25, as the RBB announced. According to the results, 78 percent of respondents expressed dissatisfaction with the work of the Berlin Senate.
In the 2023 repeat election, the CDU had still reached just over 28 percent. In a representative survey conducted in April on behalf of the RBB, the Christian Democrats still had 19 percent, with the Greens, Left Party, and AfD each at 18 percent. Within just a few weeks, the CDU has thus lost significant support.
Small Parties Below the Five-Percent Threshold
The FDP and BSW, at 3 percent each, would fail to enter the House of Representatives, according to the poll. This means that Berlin's state parliament would in future consist of only four parliamentary groups, provided this result is confirmed on election day.
The Left Party, led by top candidate Elif Eralp, reaches 20 percent in the survey published on Wednesday by the Infratest dimap institute for Rundfunk Berlin-Brandenburg, gaining two percentage points since the end of April. The Left Party is thus at the top of a Berlin poll for the first time in years.
Wegner's Reaction to the Poll
Kai Wegner, Governing Mayor of Berlin and CDU member, commented on the figures in an interview with the RBB. He described the strengthening of the political extremes in the poll as "Das tut der Stadt nicht gut, das ist gefährlich für die Stadt."
Wegner also characterized the poll numbers as a warning signal: "Sie sind aber auch ein Warnsignal für die Stadt." He elaborated: "wir haben aber auch eine sehr, sehr starke AfD" and "Die Linkspartei ist jetzt vorn".
Wegner partly attributed the loss of support to the federal trend. "Zum anderen schlägt der Bundestrend herein. Wir erleben das gerade in ganz Deutschland, dass die Parteien, die die Koalition tragen – CDU, CSU und SPD –, weiter an Zustimmung verlieren."
Previous Achievements from the Senate's Perspective
At the same time, Wegner acknowledged mistakes: "Zum einen wurden sicherlich Fehler gemacht, die ich auch eingestanden habe." He announced: "Der Wahlkampf ist mit dem heutigen Tag ein anderer."
As achievements of the past three years, Wegner cited an administrative reform, "Bürgerämter, die wieder funktionieren", "deutlich erleichterten Wohnungsneubau" and "schärfere Polizeigesetze". He also said: "Außerdem bekämpfen wir die Clans".
Wegner further stated: "gerade im Bildungsbereich haben wir vieles vorangebracht". He added: "Ich glaube, vielen fehlt das Gerechtigkeitsgefühl bei diesen Reformen."
For the coming years, Wegner named the goals: "Dabei geht es um Sicherheit, Stabilität, Sauberkeit und Ordnung." Wegner continued: "Wir haben ein starkes Wahlprogramm aufgestellt" and "Wir werden jetzt alles daransetzen, dass die Mitte gestärkt wird."
Outlook on the Election Campaign
Wegner announced that he would fight against a possible left-wing alliance: "In den kommenden Wochen werden wir deshalb dafür kämpfen, dass Berlin nicht nach links abdriftet und von einem linken Bündnis regiert wird, das die Berlinerinnen und Berliner vor drei Jahren abgewählt haben."
The poll also shows growing dissatisfaction with the Berlin state government. 78 percent of respondents expressed dissatisfaction with the work of the Senate – a figure likely to further fuel the debate about the state of the city.
Overall, the Berlin Trend illustrates a political shift: the Left Party benefits, the CDU loses ground, and the AfD remains stable at a high level. The coming weeks until the Berlin election are considered a decisive phase of the campaign.
Political Shifts in the Capital
The Berlin Trend by Infratest dimap is considered one of the most important indicators of the political mood in the capital. The survey was published on Wednesday and reflects the situation before the start of the hot phase of the election campaign.
With the loss of its leading position in the polls, the CDU faces the task of regaining lost trust. At the same time, it must assert itself against the AfD on the right and the Left Party on the left.
The coming weeks until the election will show whether the trend remains stable or whether the picture shifts again. One thing is certain: the starting position for the CDU has changed significantly compared to spring 2026.
Questions & Answers
Why is the CDU falling to fourth place in the new Berlin poll?
According to the Berlin Trend by Infratest dimap, the CDU loses its leading position for the first time in over three years, reaching only 17 percent. Kai Wegner partly attributes this to the federal trend while also acknowledging his own mistakes.
Which party is leading according to the Berlin Trend?
The Left Party reaches first place with 20 percent, gaining two percentage points since the end of April. The Greens come in at 19 percent, the AfD at 18 percent, the CDU at 17 percent, and the SPD at 13 percent.
How satisfied are Berliners with the Senate?
78 percent of respondents expressed dissatisfaction with the work of the Berlin Senate. The poll is based on 1,165 people surveyed online and by phone between June 25.
